Luxury And Department Stores Lead The Decline

June 6, 2009

Retailers struggle for sales in May only reflected the larger struggle that consumers face. Across the nations job losses are widespread and manufacturing sector continues to shed jobs.

Luxury and department store led the declines in May. Even the discount stores did not escape from the same store sales decline. Teenage retailers and select apparel stores managed to report monthly and year-to-date sales increase.

Abercrombie Fitch reported the worst same store sales decline of 28% followed by losses of 26.6% at Saks and 13.1% at Nordstrom.

Aeropostale sales increased 19% and at Ross gained 4%. The Gap, Target and Costco reported more than 6% decline in sales.

Target Corporation net retail sales in May decreased 2.3% to $4.46 billion from a prior year month. The comparable sales in May fell 6.1%.

Wal-Mart Stores will no longer declare monthly same store sales but will provide quarterly same store sales increase.

Department Stores Sales Decline Accelerate

Macy’s, Inc May same store sales fell 9.1%. Total sales declined 9.5% to $1.74 billion compared to $1.93 billion for the month of year ago.

For the year to date, total sales were $6.94 billion, a decrease of 9.5% from $7.67 billion from the year ago period. For the year-to-date same-store sales fell 9.1%.

Macy’s online sales in April gained 12.2% and for the year surged 15.2%.

J. C. Penney Company, Inc. reported comparable store sales decreased 8.2% for the four week period ended May 30 compared to a decline of 4.4% from a year ago month. Total sales in April declined 6.7%.

Sales for the first thirteen weeks declined 6.1% compared to a fall of 4.5% and comparable sales decreased 7.7% compared to a fall of 6.6% in the quarter a year ago.

For the five-week period ending July 4, 2009, the company expects same store sales to fall between 9% and 12%.

Kohl’s Corporation reported total sales for the four-week period ended May 30, 2009 increased 4.1% from a year ago. On a comparable basis same store sales fell 0.4% in the month.

Total sales for the year to-date rose 1.3% and on a comparable store basis, sales for the year decreased 3.2%.

Luxury Sales Drop the Most

Dillard’s, Inc. reported sales for the four weeks ended May 30, 2009 declined 14% to $430 million compared to a year ago period. Comparable same store sales fell 12%.

For the seventeen weeks ended May 30, sales decreased 15% to $1.47 billion from a year ago period. For the period, comparable same store sales declined 13%.

Saks Inc. total sales for the four weeks to May 30 decreased 25.8% to $166.1 million compared to $223.9 million in the month last year. Comparable store sales fell 26.6% for the month.

For the year-to-date ended May 30, 2009 total sales declined 26.7% to $781.1 million compared to $1,066.4 million in the prior year period. Comparable same store sales decreased 27.4% for the fiscal year.

Nordstrom, Inc. preliminary sales for the four-week period ended May 30 decreased 8.7% to $653 million from $716 million in the month a year ago. Same store sales fell 13.1% in the month.

Preliminary year-to-date sales decreased 9.1% to $2.36 billion compared to $2.59 billion in the first quarter 2008. For the year-to-date same store sales decreased 13.2%.

Teenage Apparel Retailers, the Only Gainers

Aeropostale, Inc. net sales for the four-week period ended May 30 increased 30% to $132.9 million from $102.3 million in the month a year ago. Same store sales increased 19% for the month meeting the sales rise in the month a year ago.

Year to date total net sales increased 23% to $541.0 million from $438.7 million in the year ago period. Year to date same store sales increased 13% compared to increase of 9% in the period of year ago.

American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. for the four-week period ended May 30 sales decreased 2% to $195.5 million from $200.0 million in the month a year ago.

Comparable same store sales decreased 7% in the month compared to a declined of 9% in the month a year ago.

Total year-to-date in the seventeen week period decreased 4% to $807.5 million compared to $840.4 million in the year ago period. Comparable same stores sales decreased 9% for the year compared to the same period last year.

Management reiterating guidance of second quarter earnings per share to be 12 cent to 15 cent compared to 29 cent last year.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. reported net sales in the four-week period ended May 30 fell 22% to $182.1 million from $233.1 million prior month period. Comparable store sales decreased 28%. May direct-to-consumer total net sales decreased 10% to $15.6 million from a year ago month.

Year-to-date sales decreased 23% to $794.2 million from $1.033 billion in the year ago period. Comparable year-to-date sales fell 29%. For the year-to-date direct-to-consumer net sales decreased 19% to $64.7 million.

The Buckle, Inc. comparable sales in the months increased 13.4% from a year ago.

Net sales in the month increased 19.2% to $60.6 million from net sales of $50.8 million for the same period of year ago.

Year-to-date seventeen-week period comparable store net sales for the period ended May 30, 2009 increased 16.7% from the period a year ago. Net sales for the seventeen-week period ended May 30, 2009 increased 23.3% to $260.2 million from net sales of $211.1 million for the prior year period.

The Cato Corporation sales in the four-week period ending in May 30 decreased 3% to $78.1 million compared to $80.5 million for the four week period ended May 31, 2008. Comparable store sales for the month fell 3%.

Sales for the seventeen weeks ended May 30, 2009 increased 3% to $316.2 million from $306.3 million for the period of year ago. Year-to-date comparable store sales decreased 1% compared to the prior year.

The Children’s Place Retail Stores, Inc net sales in four-week period ending on May 30 decreased 7% to $101.7 million from $109.4 million a year ago. Comparable store sales for May decreased 9% compared to 12% increase in the month year ago.

Comparable store sales for May in the U.S. fell 9%, in Canada decreased 7% and online sales rose 1%.

The Gap, Inc. net sales declined 5% to $1.03 billion for the four-week period ended on May 30 compared with net sales of $1.09 billion for the same period a year ago.

The comparable store sales for May decreased 6% compared to fall of 14% in the prior year month.

Comparable store sales at Gap North America locations declined 11%, at Banana Republic North America fell 14%, at Old Navy North America rose 3% and at international locations fell 7%.

Year-to-date seventeen-week period ended May 30, 2009 net sales fell 7% to $4.16 billion compared with net sales of $4.47 billion in the year ago month and comparable sales in the year-to-date declined 7% and fell 12% in the quarter a year ago.

Hot Topic, Inc. reported comparable sales decreased 6.3% for four weeks period ended May 30, 2009. Net sales decreased 3.1% to $33.5 million compared to same period of year ago.

Destination Maternity Corp, formerly Mothers Work, Inc. net sales in May decreased 5.3% to $51.3 million from $54.2 million a year ago. Comparable store sales decreased 5.4% in the period compared to prior year month.

Limited Brands, Inc. comparable store sales fell 7% to $618.7 million for the five weeks ended May 30, 2009.

The company reported for the seventeen-week comparable store sales decreased 7% to $2.34 billion.

Stein Mart, Inc. comparable store sales in May rose 0.2%. Total sales fell 2.8% from a year ago month to $105.4 million.

Stage Stores, Inc. net sales in four-week period ending May 30 decreased 4.7% to $116.8 million from $122.6 million a year ago. Comparable store sales for May decreased 7.2% compared to 0.1% increase in the month year ago.

For the year-to-date comparable store sales fell 8.6% to $450.3 million from $476.1 million from year ago.

Discount Apparel Sales Sustain Momentum

The TJX Companies, Inc. May sales increased 4% to $1.49 billion.

For the seventeen-week period to May 30 sales increased 1% to $5.84 billion from a year ago. Comparable store sales for four-week period ended May 30, 2009 rose 5% and for seventeen-week period to May 30 comparable store sales increased 3% from year ago.

Ross Stores, Inc. May sales increased 10% to $564 million compared to $513 million a year ago. Same store sales rose 4% in the month.

For the seventeen weeks ended May 30, 2009 sales increased 9% to $2.26 billion from $2.07 billion in the nine weeks ended May 31, 2008. Comparable store sales increased 3%.

For further information, visit: http://www.123jump.com/market-update/Luxury,-Department-Stores-May-Sales-Weakest/33231/61

Discounts Did Not Boost Enough Sales

June 5, 2009

U.S. retailers continued to struggle with weak sales again last month as even heavy discounting at some pricier chains failed to lift the sector.

Discounters stood out as having the best results amid a bleak May. Some of the better performers were chains offering department-store cast-offs while luxury-goods companies and midpriced department store chains continued to suffer.

“What we’ve seen recently is a very strong sentiment and sensitivity toward value” said Tom Wyatt, president of Gap Inc.’s Old Navy division. The low-priced unit of Gap posted a 3% increase in sales even as its parent reported overall sales at stores open a year declined 6%.

TJX Cos. reported a 4% increase in stores open more than a year. Ross Stores Inc. posted a 4% increase, while Kohl’s Corp. reported a 1% decline from a year ago. Their showings illustrate “the discount apparel format is starting to emerge” from the decline in consumer spending, said Brendan Langan, an analyst at retail consultants Management Ventures Inc.

Still, overall sales at stores open at least a year, a closely watched measure of retail health, slid 4.4%, according to an index of 28 retailers compiled by Retail Metrics Inc. Results didn’t include industry behemoth Wal-Mart Stores Inc., which stopped releasing its monthly sales figures. By the same measure, April sales declined a less steep 2.7%.

Among those reporting declines, Target Corp. said same-store sales fell 6.1%, Costco Wholesale Corp. posted a U.S. same-store sales drop of 1% excluding fuel, and BJ’s Wholesale Club Inc. said sales fell 6.8% from a year ago. BJ’s said it faced a difficult comparison against higher gas prices last year.

In part, all retailers faced a similar hurdle compared with results from a year ago: Government checks, meant to boost the economy, had a positive impact on sales throughout the summer of 2008. “We didn’t have that boost this year,” said Thomson Reuters retail analyst Jharonne Martis.

May’s steeper slide may show retailers efforts to woo shoppers with discounts are being ignored. Hot Topic Inc., the teen retailer, discounted its denim prices by as much as 30% and 40%. Abercrombie & Fitch Co. shifted from its full-price strategy by erecting big summer clearance signs in front of stores. Yet neither returned high dividends: Same-store sales at Hot Topic fell 6.4% last month, and Abercrombie & Fitch reported a 28% decline, far more than analysts had predicted.

Aeropostale Inc. offered a rare bright spot among middle-tier, teen apparel retailers, posting a 19% increase in same-store sales. Buckle Inc. posted a 13.4% increase, its 22nd month of double-digit gains.

In the luxury sector, Saks Inc. and Nordstrom Inc. reported steep declines, reflecting the continued woes for high-end retailers. Mid-priced department stores did not fare much better. Dillard’s Inc. said same-store sales fell 12%, Bon-Ton Stores Inc. reported a 12.1% decline while at Macy’s Inc. same-store sales fell 9.1%

For further information, visit: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124411973852585047.html

Steeper Declines In May Than Analysts Expected

June 5, 2009

Macy’s Inc., Dillard’s Inc. and Saks Inc. reported steeper May sales declines than analysts estimated as rising unemployment prompted U.S. consumers to save instead of spend. 

Sales at U.S. stores open at least a year fell 9.1 percent at Macy’s, the second-biggest U.S. department-store chain, compared with the 8.8 percent average of analysts’ estimates compiled by Retail Metrics Inc. Sales at Dillard’s department stores dropped 12 percent, a bigger decline than the 7 percent analyst projection. Luxury retailer Saks’s sales plunged 26.6 percent; analysts had predicted 14.5 percent, on average.

Consumers are still limiting purchases and allocating leftover funds to necessities rather than discretionary items, according to Brian Sozzi, an analyst at research firm Wall Street Strategies in New York. Sales at higher-end department stores slumped as shoppers cut purchases of handbags, shoes and clothes, forcing the chains to offer more and deeper discounts.

“Diminished job prospects, wealth evaporation and weak wage growth continues to be at the forefront of consumer psyche, meaning fewer dollars sloshing around the world of retail and lack of visibility into the back half of 2009,” Sozzi said in a June 1 note.

Macy’s fell 44 cents, or 3.3 percent, to $12.88 at 4:05 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. Dillard’s declined 71 cents, or 6.9 percent, to $9.65. Saks fell 1 cent to $4.04. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Retailing Index declined 1.2 percent today, and has climbed 20 percent this year.

Saks, based in New York, has cut 1,100 jobs in recent months and said it would reduce merchandise orders 20 percent this year. Cincinnati-based Macy’s has slashed prices to clear inventories.

Retailers that managed to attract some consumer dollars included Aeropostale Inc., Gap Inc.’s Old Navy division and TJX Cos. Their May sales beat analysts’ estimates, helped by lower prices and a focus on value. Kohl’s Corp. and J.C. Penney Co. also exceeded predictions as the budget-conscious opted to shop at lower-priced department stores.

“Kohl’s and Penney’s may be pulling share from both the traditional department stores and from discounters,” Jeffrey Klinefelter, an analyst at Piper Jaffray Cos. in Minneapolis, said today in a telephone interview.

Retail Metrics said today that U.S. comparable-store sales in May dropped 4.4 percent, worse than its projected 3.6 percent decline. Yesterday, the Swampscott, Massachusetts-based researcher said that while housing, construction spending and new factory orders are coming in “less worse” than expected, retailers and consumers remain under pressure as job cuts continue.

May accounts for the smallest portion of retailers’ second-quarter sales, according to Betty Chen, an analyst at Wedbush Morgan Securities in San Francisco.

Wal-Mart Stores Inc., the world’s largest retailer, said on May 14 that sales at U.S. stores and its Sam’s Club membership warehouse division may rise as much as 3 percent in the 13 weeks through July 31. The chain stopped reporting monthly same-store sales as of May 1, citing the difficulty of predicting shoppers’ behavior.

U.S. consumer spending fell for a second straight month in April as concern over rising unemployment and record wealth destruction prompted households to boost savings rates to the highest level in 14 years, according to the Commerce Department. The 0.1 percent drop followed a 0.3 percent decrease in March, Commerce Department figures showed. The savings rate rose to 5.7 percent, spurred by an unexpected jump in incomes linked to the fiscal stimulus.

“Until people feel confident in their employment and feel confident in their ability to maintain their housing situation, they’re going to continue to rebuild their rainy-day fund to the extent that they possibly can, and that translates to higher savings rates,” said Bryan Eshelman, managing director in the retail practice at Alix Partners LP, a consulting firm.

Retailers continue to cut prices. Aeropostale was offering 20 percent off women’s dresses. American Eagle Outfitters Inc. was giving 50 percent off the purchase of a second graphic t- shirt.

Companies in the U.S. cut an estimated 532,000 workers from payrolls in May, according to yesterday’s ADP Employer Services report. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg predict the U.S. unemployment rate for May will rise to 9.2 percent from 8.9 percent in April.

Still, confidence among U.S. consumers jumped in May by the most in six years. The Conference Board’s index surged more than forecast to 54.9, the New York-based research group said May 26.

“There is a bit of unfounded optimism out there,” Eshelman said yesterday in a telephone interview. “Once this economy turns the corner, I think it will turn the corner rather quickly, but the conditions have just not aligned to get to that point.”

The International Council of Shopping Centers said that May same-store sales dropped 4.6 percent, more than its forecast of a 2 percent decline. The New York-based trade group’s figure is based on results at 32 chains.

The comparison to a year ago was difficult because federal tax rebate checks spurred more spending last May, Michael Niemira, chief economist at the ICSC, said today in a telephone interview. June sales may drop as much as 4 percent, he said.

For further information, visit: http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a0rrp1uLy8B4